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Race Preview: 2012 Black-Eyed Susan Stakes at Pimlico

May 16th, 2012

MammaKimboFantasyStakes2012 Race Preview: 2012 Black Eyed Susan Stakes at Pimlico

Photo: Oaklawn Park/Coady Photography

This Saturday is the rematch between Bodemeister and I’ll Have Another in the Preakness Stakes, but there is some great racing at Old Hilltop on Friday with the Grade 2 Black-Eyed Susan Stakes for three-year-old fillies.

A day before trainer Bob Baffert and jockey Mike Smith take Bodemeister to the gate looking for a front-running score in the Preakness they will try to do the same with Mamma Kimbo, who is a perfect two-for-two in her career.

Mamma Kimbo, pictured, started off with a dazzling maiden win at Santa Anita going six furlongs then came back two months later to score an equally as impressive win in the Grade 2 Fantasy at Oaklawn Park.  The Discreet Cat-filly was held out of the Kentucky Oaks to run specifically in the Black-Eyed Susan.  She is the pace of the race and should be able to make an easy lead.

Those wanting to upset the favorite should look to a pair of NY-based fillies, Welcome Guest and In Lingerie.

Welcome Guest exits a game second place finish to Broadway’s Alibi in the Grade 3 Comely at Aqueduct.  Welcome Guest was never going to catch the loose-on-the-lead Broadway’s Alibi in the Comely and may face a similar pace scenario on Friday.  Broadway’s Alibi came back to run second in the Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks after the Comely.

In Lingerie was possible for the Kentucky Oaks after her front-running score in the Grade 3 Bourbonette Oaks at Turfway Park, but trainer Todd Pletcher had a couple of other starters for that race so decided to point the Empire Maker filly to the Black-Eyed Susan. 

The one caveat about In Lingerie is that, even though she is bred to run well on conventional dirt, her best two starts have come in slow-paced races over a synthetic surface.  Her lone dirt start was a second to Zo Impressive, who came back to run second, beaten six and one-half lengths, in the Grade 2 Gulfstream Oaks.

Pletcher also brings Disposablepleasure to Pimlico to run in the Black-Eyed Susan, but needs to regain the form she had as a two-year-old.  In two starts this year she was fourth in the Grade 2 Davona Dale at Gulfstream Park behind Yara and Grace Hall then was third, beaten nine lengths, in the Grade 2 Fair Grounds Oaks to subsequent Kentucky Oaks winner Believe You Can.

In Disposablepleasure’s second career start she finished second to Glinda the Good, who is also entered in the Black-Eyed Susan.  Glinda the Good is coming off a visually impressive win in the $100,000 Instant Racing Stakes at Oaklawn Park, but based on speed figures would need to improve by leaps and bounds to upset the top choices.

The local hopes will rest on the shoulders of trainer Rodney Jenkins and his filly Plum.  A daughter of Pure Prize, bred in Maryland, Plum has won four of six races with her biggest win coming in the state-bred Juvenile Filly Championship at Laurel last December.  She won by a half-length in her last start, but was all out to do so.  She too needs to improve if she will carry the colors of the state in the winner’s circle.

Rounding out the field are Oaks Lily, Wildcat’s Smile and Zucchini Flower.

First post on Friday is 12:00 ET with the Black-Eyed Susan scheduled to go to post at 4:46.  It is the second leg of the pick-4, which starts with the Turf Sprint Stakes and also includes the Very One and Pimlico Special.

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Race Preview: Frankel in Group 1 Lockinge Stakes at Newbury, 5/19/2012

May 15th, 2012

Frankel 006 Race Preview: Frankel in Group 1 Lockinge Stakes at Newbury, 5/19/2012

The world’s top-ranked horse, Frankel, makes his eagerly-anticipated reappearance in Saturday’s Group 1 Lockinge Stakes at Newbury and is likely to be joined in the field by stablemate Bullet Train. The four year old Galileo colt is undefeated in 9 career starts and boasts Cartier Champion status as a two and three year old.

2010 Cartier Champion Two-Year-Old Colt in Europe.
2011 Cartier Horse of the Year and Champion Three-Year-Old Colt in Europe

Frankel’s win in the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket in April 2011, a performance which has been described as “one of the greatest displays on a British racecourse”.

After his win in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes at Ascot in October 2011, Frankel was given a rating of 143 by Timeform, the highest mark awarded by the organisation in over forty years and their fourth highest of all time behind Sea Bird, Brigadier Gerard and Tudor Minstrel.

Frankel will remain in training as a four year-old before being retired to stud. British bloodstock agency McKeever Bloodstock has suggested that Frankel has a valuation of £100 million, an estimate which may be “conservative”.

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Hollywood Park Sunday Pick-6 Carryover

May 13th, 2012

20080606 horse race hollywood park 23 Hollywood Park Sunday Pick 6 CarryoverAfter long shots ruled the day on Saturday a pick-6 carryover of over $75,000 awaits bettors on Sunday.  It could make for a very special Mother’s Day.

Race four, post time 5:34 ET, is the first leg of the sequence and is for maiden special weight runners going two turns on the main Cushion track.  Anabaa Premium is the morning line favorite making his first start at Hollywood Park after a good second place finish at Santa Anita.  Jockey Garrett Gomez is likely to take his mount straight to the front and the way the track has been playing he may never look back.  Death Star has promised more than delivered in his four starts to date and will be running late.  Stratify is by A.P. Indy out of a Storm Cat mare and has been running against some tough competition.

The fifth race is an allowance, optional claiming race at six furlongs on the turf course with Nofty the tepid 5-2 morning line favorite.  Nofty comes out of a third place finish down the hill at Santa Anita and will appreciate the return to the Hollywood Park turf course where he has his only win.  Blue Jay Attack is also fond of the course and distance with two of his three wins coming at Hollywood Park.  La Mano Nera is the third choice on the morning line dropping back down to face state-bred competition after a fourth place finish against open company at Santa Anita.

Full’s Kris S. and Langfurs Lightning are the ones to beat in race six dropping from the maiden special weight ranks to face maiden claimers.  Swiss Game is winless in his nine starts to date, but has run some races that will make him competition here.

The feature of the day is up next, the 4th running of the twelve furlong Round Table.  The turf stakes drew a field of nine led by Dhaamer, who is exiting the Grade 2 San Juan Capistrano Handicap at Santa Anita.  Quaintly, Dynamic Host and Porfido look best if the favorite fails to fire.

The start of the late daily double is a claiming sprint race and it may be the spot where most people single.  Ranchero dropped to a high level maiden claiming race in his last and responded with a half-length victory.  It wasn’t a flashy win, but a repeat of that effort would crush this field.  The one curious aspect about the horse is that Martin Pedroza, not Martin Garcia, is named to ride.

Some crazy things have happened the last couple of days in the last race at Hollywood Park with a $46.00 winner yesterday and a $33.40 winner on Friday night.  Wild Truffles is 20-1 on the morning line and is coming off a layoff of seven months after two attempts as a maiden against Grade 1 company.  In the Del Mar Debutante she beaten just over two lengths by Weemissfrankie.  She’s the long shot play, but will need to be at her best to upset Eileen’s Dream, Pourquoi Pas, Shelley Beach, Special Charm, More Chocolate and Personal Sunset.  Truth is, it’s a tough, tough way to end the day.

Happy Mother’s Day to all the mom’s out there and good luck in the Pick-6!

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Hollywood Park Saturday Player’s Pick 5

May 12th, 2012

20080606 horse race hollywood park 23 Hollywood Park Saturday Player’s Pick 5The Laz Barrera is the feature on Saturday at Hollywood Park and with the short field the racing secretary placed it right in the middle of the Player’s Pick-5, which starts in race 1 with a post time of 4:00 ET.

The opener is a claiming race going six panels on the main track with Choco Ale the 9-5 morning line favorite. Choco Ale was bred in Kentucky, but began her racing career in Mexico. After two wins in three starts there she showed up last month for trainer Jerry Hollendorfer and finished third in a $75,000 claiming race. Down the ladder she is the one to beat. Anna You’re Up returns from the claiming ranks and is the looks best if the top pick does not fire.

Older claiming horses are up next in race two with five of the seven horses between 5-2 and 5-1 on the morning line. The favorite is Mythical Power from the Bob Baffert barn and was last seen running ninth in the Grade 2 Churchill Downs Stakes one year ago. This looks like a race to use as many as the budget allows.

Race three is the Laz Barrera and the four horse field is deep with each horse analyzed in this week’s BetAmerican Newsletter. After seeing the workout report, Gun Boat is the top pick and he is the third choice on the morning line.

The fourth race is a maiden claiming racing for fillies and mares going five and one-half furlongs on the Cushion track. Courageousandbold was the favorite in her last race, but clipped heels and fell. She returns with two workouts since that last race and is the filly to beat on the drop in class. Ralphy Girl may be inside speed and jockey Chantal Sutherland will gun her mount to the lead when the gates open. Devoted to Shark is a first time starter for trainer Brian Koriner with several quick works on the tab. Warren’s Performer and Agreed Upon are the two if the pace collapses, which often happens at this short distance.

The final race in the pick-5 is the only turf race in the sequence. Donato drops back down to the class level of his last win, which was the best race of his 19-race career. Agapito Delgadillo sent his charge out to grab the early lead and was never challenged en route to an easy score. Back down in class the five-year-old gelding will be tough to run down. One horse in the race that needs a fast pace is Clearance Clarence. The gelding has no early speed, but has a nice late kick. Arcodoro may put pressure on the favorite first off the claim for Jack Carava as could the Turf Paradise shipper Southern Sculptor. Life Is a Rock is an interesting horse returning to the turn after the claim by trainer George L. Lopez. It has been several months since an effort that would beat this field, but the four-year-old does have some back class. Gothic Samurai is going to eventually catch a field that he is going to be able to beat. Second start off the layoff and going sprint to route are two positives for the gelding.

It should be an interesting pick-5 with some vulnerable favorites along the way.

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Race Preview: The 2012 Preakness Stakes at Pimlico

May 8th, 2012

As soon as I’ll Have Another, pictured in the paddock prior to the Derby, crossed the line at Churchill Downs on Saturday in the Kentucky Derby the racing world turned their eyes to Pimlico and the second jewel of the Triple Crown.  On May 19 I’ll Have Another will try to become the first horse since 2008 to win both the Preakness and Kentucky Derby.

The Flower Alley colt is expected to once again take on a full field, which could include seven others from the Derby.  Headlining that group is the second place finisher, Bodemeister, who may have run one of the best Derby’s even in defeat.

Bodemeister out-broke the sprinter Trinniberg and took the early lead through fast fractions.  Jockey Mike Smith kept about a length margin between him and Trinniberg at all times before opening up in the stretch only to be run down late by I’ll Have Another.

For more proof on just how well Bodemeister ran check out where his other pace rivals finished.  At the half-mile pole Trinniberg was second, followed by Hansen, Daddy Long Legs, Gemologist and Take Charge Indy.  The best result of that group was Hansen, who finished ninth.  Gemologist checked in at 16th with Trinniberg 17, Take Charge Indy 19 and Daddy Long Legs 20.

Should Bodemeister go on to the Preakness then expect him to break from the gate as the post-time favorite.  Trainer Bob Baffert is no stranger to a loss in the Derby with a favorite only to come back and win the Preakness.  Baffert’s Lookin At Lucky won the 2010 Preakness after a disappointing Derby run from the rail while his massive colt Point Given came back to win the 2001 Preakness after a questionable Derby ride.

Baffert may also send Liaison, who finished a very good sixth in the Kentucky Derby as well as Paynter, who finished second in the Derby Trial on opening day at Churchill last week.  Paynter and Bodemeister are both owned by Ahmed Zayat so expect only one to run.

The others expected to run in the Preakness from the Derby are Dullahan, third in the Derby, Went The Day Well, fourth, Creative Cause, fifth, Hansen, nine, and Optimizer, eleventh.

The new shooters expected to take down the Derby winner are Brimstone Island, second in the Canonero II at Pimlico last Saturday; Cozzetti, fourth in the Arkansas Derby behind Bodemeister; Hierro, winner of the Derby Trial; Pretension, winner of the Canonero II; Teeth of the Dog and Tiger Walk, the third and fourth place finishers behind Gemologist and Alpha in the Wood Memorial; and Zetterholm, winner of the Patysprospect at Aqueduct in early April.

The draw for the 137th running of the Grade 1 Preakness Stakes is on Wednesday, May 16, but it’s never too soon to start handicapping.

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